AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
309 PM CST SUN FEB 23 2003

FCST FOCUS ON DVLPG LGT SNOW TNGT...THEN TEMPS ESPCLY MON NGT.

HAVE BEEN WATCHING LGT SNOW DVLP OVR IOWA AND SRN MN AND PROGS IN
GNRL AGRMNT WITH MOVG AREA OF LGT SNOW EAST INTO SRN WI DURG THE NGT.
SNOW AREA REMAINS MOISTURE CHALLENGED WITH 1 G/KG RETURNING INTO
THE MID LVLS TNGT...HWVR DRY LYR REMAINS BTWN 800 AND 900 MB. WETZEL
INGREDIENTS/LSE-MKE CROSS SECTIONS SHOW THAT RH LEVELS DO NOT
EXCEED 80 TO 90 PCT DURG EVENT. LGT SNOW WILL BE BATTLING THE DRY
AIR AND FEEL AT THIS POINT THAT THIS WL LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS IN
SPITE OF 30:1 RATIO...FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AND PSBL H300 ULD AS
RRQ MOVES ACRS. WL KEEP ACCUMULATION WORDING AT ARD AN INCH. EVENING
FCSTR WL HV TO MONITOR FOR ANY NECESSARY UPDATES TO AMOUNTS. LOW
MOISTURE CONTENT WL PRODUCE A DRY SWEEPABLE SNOWFALL.

LGT SNOW XPCTD TO TAPER OFF OR END FROM WEST TO EAST BY MRNG...ALTHO
CAA AND BASIC INSTABILITY MAY LEAD TO SNOW SHWRS OR FLURRIES DURG
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

XPCT CLR SKIES...DMNSHG WINDS AND FRESH SNOWCVR MONDAY NGT TO AID
NIGHTTIME TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE 5 TO 10 BELOW RANGE ACRS MUCH OF
CWA.

SUNSHINE AND LGT WINDS TUESDAY WL ALLOW FOR SOME TEMP RECVRY BUT
STILL A COLD DAY WITH WAY BLO NORMAL READINGS.

XTNDD FCST...SHOWS GRDL TEMP MODERATION WITH HIGHS RISING BACK INTO
THE 30S FROM THURSDAY ON. ON AND OFF CHC OF LGT SNOW OR FLURRIES
WEDNESDAY NGT THRU SUNDAY...IF ONE CAN BELIEVE ANYTHING THE GFS
OUTPUTS. AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS THAT BIG STORMS WL CONT TO MISS
SRN WI.

.MKX...NONE.

$$